Until a few months ago no one in the world would have
dreamed that Program Plowshare would have applications for use in arrest
of an arrant under sea oil gusher.
Currently in the news is the presumably (pending
investigation of negligence by the ultimate owner/operator) accidental
explosion of the oil rig “Deep Water Horizon”. This on-going British
Petroleum (BP) company [link] oil spill 41 miles off the coast of
Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico could be the largest and most
catastrophic oil spill in the world cost estimates are upwards of $3
billion currently with claims including $125 million so far BP share
price at $305 half of its value before the spill. The spill stems from
the oil rig platform explosion and fire that killed 11 workers and
destroyed the “Marine Riser” attached to the sea rig platform that sank
in the ocean to which a Blowout Preventer (BOP) was attached also failed
to work properly. Now oil flow from the Well is estimated by the “Quasi-Official
Flow Rate Technical Group” calculates flow from the mile deep to sea
floor Wellhead to be: 35,000 to 60,000 barrels (1,500,000 to 2,500,000
US gallons; 5,600 to 9,500 cubic meters) of crude oil per day some
estimates put flow at 20,000 - 100,000 barrels (840,000-4,200,000 US
gallons; 3,200 - 16,000 cubic meters) a day.
That’s 333 Exxon Valdez spills, oil that is spread with the
undersea loop current in Gulf of Mexico plus the movement up the U.S.
Eastern Seaboard of oil pollution carried via Gulf Stream current out
into the Atlantic Ocean toward Europe.
BB: Dr. Nordyke when does the U.S. Government’s and BP intermittent plan
due to operation accidents and hurricanes which halt efforts to recover
oil from Well become unacceptable half hearted measures for remedy to
plug Well?
MN: They’re obviously trying to stem the Well as best they can right
now. But what ever they’re able to do with that right now it’s always
going to be a temporary thing that any hurricane or anything like that
could come back and really be a danger. The ultimate solution really
depends upon the relief Wells (Russians tried relief Wells in some cases
for three years and they were never successful). I think what they’re
planning on doing with the relief Well is to intercept the run-away Well
and pump mud and concrete down and try to fill the run-away Well through
the relief Well. Either that or just divert the flow into the relief
Well. If those [measures] are successful, fine that’s the solution to
the problem of the disaster. The relief Wells I hope are big enough to
withstand the pressure that they’re facing down there. It’s one of the
deepest Wells they have drilled in that area with some of the highest
pressures.
They are exploring somewhat new territory. If those [relief Wells]
fail then I think we ought to consider the concept of using a nuclear
explosion to seal it because it’s quite safe and you’re going to be at a
depth 10,000 ft. approximately below the ocean. Depending on how the
relief Wells are positioned with respect to the run-away Well I presume
they can get to within 10 meters of the run-away Well the nuclear explosion
would want to be 10-15 meters away from the Well so that the shockwave from
the explosion crushes the run-away Well and stops the flow of oil to the
surface. If you’re down that deep 10,000 ft. below the ocean there is no
risk whatsoever of radioactivity. The only possibility of radioactivity
coming to the surface would be if some how the run-away Well didn’t
close and some radioactivity came up in the oil that would be a rather
minor amount of radioactivity when diluted into the ocean floor. That’s
a very, very remote possibility. They’re very successful with deeply
buried nuclear explosions. They seal, they have never leaked when you’re
down at those depths. We had quite a few explosions at 5,000, 6,000,
7,000 ft. and this one will at least be 10,000 ft. below the ocean so it
could be down to 15,000 ft.
Wikipedia quotes:
“Frustrated with the lack of progress three weeks
into the crisis, the U.S. sent in a team of nuclear physicists assembled
by President Obama's energy secretary
Steven Chu, including
Richard Garwin who designed the first hydrogen bomb and
Sandia National Laboratories director Tom Hunter. The team visited
BP's main crisis centre in Houston, where they worked with BP
scientists.”
[118]
“The team visited BP's main crisis centre in Houston,
where they worked with BP scientists.
On May 24 BP ruled out using conventional explosives,
saying that if the company tried blasts to crimp the Well and failed,
“We would have denied ourselves all other options.”[119]
“In addition, Admiral Thad Allen stated, "since we
don't know the condition of that Well bore or the casings, I would be
cautious about putting any kind of kinetic energy on that Well head,
because what you may do is create open communication between the
reservoir and the sea floor."[121]
Allen also said that the result could be oil seeping through cracks and
through the seafloor, "and then be uncontrolled until the reservoir
pressure equalized with the hydrostatic pressure; I think that's a risk
that's too great to take a chance on, myself."[122]
BB: Do you have any
comments toward these quotes ?
MN: If the explosion is down at 10,000 ft. that’s not
very far above the existing reservoir which has managed to seal over
thousand millions of years. It’s hard for me to believe that at 10,000
ft. gas and oil, particularly oil, but even gas could seep up through
10,000 ft. of rock, shale of various kinds of rock-that’s hard to
believe. And basically you’re sealing it right above where the formation
is so if it where possible to seep up through the rock it would have
done that in the past over the last million of years -but it hasn’t. You
are sealing it down there very deep, you’re not sealing it just under
the ocean.
BB: How do you feel
when statements from official luminaries nix the idea of using a nuclear
device do you think they might not be calculating the right risk
metrics?
MN: I appreciate it’s a political issue which would
be difficult to deal with. But if this is as Russia's President Dmitry
Medvedev said, a world ecological disaster then we have to do something
to solve it. And I don’t think one could let it go on for the next 2 or
3 years. I think you’d would find a lot of support in Louisiana,
Florida, Alabama and Georgia for doing something to ultimately seal it.
BB: Can the President issue
an Executive Order (EO) or would U.S. Congress rule on the matter to
allow use of a PNE device?
MN: I'm sure they could find a way to do it. The only other
political issue is the U.S. has already signed the Comprehensive Test
Band Treaty (CTBT). But the U.S. has never ratified the treaty. So it
has not gone into effect yet and so the president could withdraw the
signature at least for this particular event- I would think.
BB: I have noticed comments
posted from some of the articling out of major newspaper websites they
seem to raise the specter of large radioactive seawater plumes, which
characterize nuke shots, lodged on floating barges. I think people can
easily be confused by old videos of nuke shots in the Polynesian area
which incidentally was the site of hundreds of nuke shots over the "Ring
of Fire" pacific seismic belt that never caused any abnormal volcanic or
seismic activity out of the ordinary for example, the Wigwam nuke shot
in 2000 ft. of water.
Do you think a low yield PNE device properly placed down a relief Well
as you have stated, 10-15,000 ft. deep so that the Well would be sealed
with 5-10,000 ft. between it and the ocean floor would rise like some
200-400 Kt nuke shots?
MN: But these were explosions in the
water not underneath the sea floor.
BB: Other
'armchair' comments is the ruse that some how contortion of undersea rock
formations would become vitrified under the extreme 3000-4000 degree C
heat from PNE device blast to become too brittle to contain structure
under subsidence cratering. And the issue of gas venting of radioactive
gas as rock material is vaporized in heat.
In research I’ve noticed the following from Russian/Soviet
technical literature on underground shots:
[With respect to the time of the
beginning of emergence of radioactive products of the explosion into the
atmosphere and corresponding radiation effects, all
explosions in holes can be divided into three groups.]
1)
Early escape of radioactive gases into the
atmosphere ranging from 10 s to 20 min was
recorded in 30 borehole explosions. The normalized depth of burial
of the device in this
group ranged very widely, from 70 to 960 m/kt1/3.
The total gas content of the rocks where
the nuclear devices were placed ranged from 4.5% to 18%.
2)
Later escape of radioactive gases ranging from 25 to 60 minutes was
observed in 40 explosions, from 1 hour to 5
hours - in 30 explosions, and from 5 hours to 25 hours - in 10
explosions, from 1 hour to 5 hours - in 30 explosions, and
from 5 hours to 25 hours - in 10
explosions. The normalized depth of explosions of this group
also ranged over wide limits
(from 88 to 236 m/kt1/3), and the
gas content of the rock was 2.6-14.4%.
3)
In the third group of 23 explosions, there was no emission of
radioactivity into the
atmosphere. The normalized depth of explosions of this group
ranged widely: from 96 to
225 m/kt1/3, and the gas content
of host rock reached 4-12%. With respect to these indices,
the explosions of this group were practically the same as for
the first and second groups, and
are of little help in explaining the absence of gas escape
into the atmosphere.
In our opinion, the reason that gases do not
escape into the atmosphere in this group of explosion is the sealing
action of the upper sand-clay layer, along with a high-quality stemming
system and the sealing of other components in the epicentral zone.
Indeed, the conditions of conducting these
explosions differ only in terms of the thickness of a considerable layer
of drift sediments, ranging from 25 to 90 m. For the explosions with
escape of radioactive products into the atmosphere, the thickness of the
drift was 3-30 m,
and in only 10 shots was this layer 40-70 m
thick. It is probable that the stemming was not of high quality in these
detonations.
[LINK]
BB: So in fact there are nuclear terrestrial blasts that don't emit
radioactivity at all. There's that possibility.
MN: We have had hundreds of explosions that we have carried out at
test sites and other sites at large depths which didn't produce any
radioactive release to the surface theirs lots of data on that.
BB: I agree. There would be no post blast radioactivity on the sea
floor surface not to mention you have a mile worth of salty ocean water
that tends to mitigate and mute radioactivity.
BB: Would packing down in the
relief Well along with the PNE device a specialized silica compound in
proximity of the blast shockwave in the intense heat produce and insure
a good crystalline seal for this run-away Well?
MN: No, the nuclear explosion produces
initially a sphere of several thousand degrees C at extremely high
pressure which melts the rock around it and start to expand as an
expanding spherical shockwave. The shockwave initially melts the rock
around the explosion it expands and crushes all rock around this
propagating shockwave. If you had pipe in this blast sphere they would
be crushed [and the metal fused shut] as well. The pipe would be crushed
above and below the explosion.
BB: If you had a submersible with cameras over the sea floor area would
you see the ocean floor crater a bit?
MN: Oh, No! The long term effect of the
explosion is [figuratively cavity formation] described here. When you
make a large cavity and it expands to its full size it then tends to
collapse and the rock above it will come down but that rock occupies a
much larger volume because it's broken rock. And so within the time that
its (explosion) gone up 4 or 5 times the diameter of the cavity it stops
because its run out of volume. That's what we call a "Chimney". We had
observed this effect in just about every underground explosion. You
produce a "Chimney" which is 4 to 5 cavities high. What we're talking
about here is at 10,000 ft. [down in depth in solid rock] the "Chimney"
formation would be 100 ft. high maybe 200 ft. This has been observed in
just about every deep underground nuclear explosion.
BB: What amount of kilo tonnage
explosion would be a proper remedy for the BP oil spill Well?
MN: 30 Kt that sounds reasonable to me.
BB: Is there anything lower like 10
Kt device or 5 Kt?
MN: 10 Kt is possible, but 30 Kt would be a little safer to make sure
you're close enough for the yield that you have to crush the Well,
that's up to a calculation [computer modeling of blast]. We have
made explosive devices for deep burial in the earth before. For the Rio
Blanco gas stimulation experiment at 5,800 - 6,700 feet in Colorado in
1973 we made 3 explosives, 7.8 inches in diameter, these were designed
to withstand pressures of 7000 psi and temperatures of 215 degrees
Fahrenheit. That certainly can be done again for higher pressures and
temperatures.
BB: On the legalities of TBT (Test
Ban Treaty) like the
CTBT (Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty),
PTBT (Partial Test Ban Treaty),
OST (Outer Space Treaty) and
NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty) Do you think these treaties
(especially CTBT) in light of the BP incident prompt a review of the
treaty, would it go back to a partial test band to allow for PNE's in
the future ?
MN: The only treaty that would apply here is the CTBT which the U.S.
has signed but never ratified, PTBT only limited the yield of
explosions. It was discussed at the time they were negotiating the CTBT
that there could to be an exception for "Plowshare" but this was never
included in the final version.
BB: Has any
BP company or government official talked with you or sought your
consultation?
MN: No, they've been kinda nervous about
getting involved.
BB: Do you sense an extreme
anti-nuclear bent on any technology involving nuclear science to the
point of irrational fear of radiation and a proper prudent approach to
weighing risk metrics that could mitigate and already catastrophic oil
spill in our oceans?
MN: There has been an over reaction to
radioactivity and to the threat that's involved here. Mention the word
"Nuclear" and it causes people's concern to rise. If all else fails
you'll find a fair
amount of population surrounding the Gulf who are
going to re-examine that. One of the problems is that when you mention
"Nuclear" people think of
these plumes going in the air, this huge mushroom cloud. That's what
they think of when you say nuclear explosion. Well... that's not what
we're talking-about at all.
CNN had a video clip on this [explosion] every time they mention "Nuclear"
they show an atmospheric explosion. Which was just contrary to the
message of the clip.
There would be no visible explosion to witness.
BB: What
I've noticed also in media is they exhibit proponents of PNE device use
as a remedy for the arrant BP undersea oil Well as "Crazy", as an idea
that should not be given credit. Mr.
Matthew Simmons and oil expert on MSNBC
Dylan Ratigan Show was in favor of using the PNE to
arrest the BP oil Well flow ASAP.
Milo, in closing I would like to express my
thanks to you on behalf of our readers for the wealth of information you
have provided us on this issue - I thank you.
Other links of interest on PNE use:
Crisis in the Gulf
Part IV- Interview with U.S. Expert on Peaceful Nuclear Explosives
LaRouchePAC
Laurence Hecht Editor, 21st Century Science & Technology